How well did the polls do in projecting the 2019 election result?

After somewhat poor showings in 2015 and 2017, pollsters in 2019 performed admirably, with all final polls close to the actual result.


Polling Day: Britain Elects poll tracker gives the Tories a 9pt lead

Our poll tracker finishes the election campaign with a 9pt lead for the Conservatives, enough for a comfortable majority, but an error margin from a hung parliament.

The Brexit Party’s pullout demonstrates a problem for pollsters

The Brexit Party’s decision to stand down may have boosted the Conservatives in the polls, but it’s difficult to predict how many of those votes will actually materialise on polling day.

Attitudes to immigration are relatively similar across the union, despite Brexit divisions

Like the English, a majority of Scots (58%) support reduced immigration to Scotland. Conor Kavanagh from the Immigration Advice Service writes for Britain Elects.

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The latest polls

Recent voting intentions

The Tories might experience a 10pt swing their way in the North West

New YouGov polling of the English regions suggests Tory encroachment on Labour's Leave-voting heartlands, outperforming what national polls are showing.

Nigel Farage could move three in ten Labour Leave voters over to the Tories

New research suggests electors will be voting tactically in the coming election, with Leave voters open to persuasion from Brexit Party Leader Nigel Farage.

Public don’t trust Johnson to deliver Brexit by the 31st October

Research done with ComRes says 53% do not believe Brexit will be delivered by Halloween.

Should the Tories and Brexit Party work together?

Polling commissioned by Britain Elects suggests it'd be a popular decision...

remembering

Lily Jayne Summers1993 - 2016

On 16 December, 2016, the Co-Founder of Britain Elects, Lily Jayne Summers, sadly passed away.Lily was integral to the development of Britain Elects, working hard on every national election night since its founding in 2013. She was a passionate person committed to the politics she believed in, and she enjoyed the part she played in in helping set up Britain Elects. She was authentic, ambitious, funny, quick witted, always up for an argument, and heartwarming to those who knew her. She was a student at Swansea University, a council candidate for the Labour Party, and formerly active with the Salvation Army.She was a great colleague, but to me she was more my closest friend than anything else. Lily meant so much. I'm shocked and sorry to see her taken from this world at such a young age.- Ben Walker, Co-Founder